Built 08 Sept, 17:34
What the model expects.
Every number here comes from the engine that marks a squad, projected over the opening 15 gameweeks. Published before the matches so it can be checked against them — the scorecard is here.
- 1ARSCOVavlCHEsunbhaLEEnfoEVElivHULnewMCIbretotBOU+0.69
- 2MCIBOUcryCOVmunSUNlivIPSavlBHAnfoFULarsLEEbreCHE+0.59
- 3MUNhulIPSeveMCIfulTOTleeBOUcheAVLlivBREnewCOVcry+0.26
- 4LIVnewNFOipsFULbouMCIbreBHAARScryMUNeveSUNcheLEE+0.25
- 5CHEfulBHAarsHULbreBOUeveTOTMUNsunLEEnfoCRYLIVmci+0.16
- 6NEWLIVtotBOUleeHULcovAVLcryEVEfulARSbhaMUNSUNips+0.12
- ···
- 19SUNipsFULbreARSmciBHAbouLEEcovCHEavlTOTlivnewNFO-0.31
- 20IPSSUNmunLIVcryeveFULmciNFOhulBOUtotAVLcovleeNEW-0.58
- 1ARSCOVavlCHEsunbhaLEEnfoEVElivHULnewMCIbretotBOU+0.69
- 2MCIBOUcryCOVmunSUNlivIPSavlBHAnfoFULarsLEEbreCHE+0.59
- 3MUNhulIPSeveMCIfulTOTleeBOUcheAVLlivBREnewCOVcry+0.26
- 4LIVnewNFOipsFULbouMCIbreBHAARScryMUNeveSUNcheLEE+0.25
- 5CHEfulBHAarsHULbreBOUeveTOTMUNsunLEEnfoCRYLIVmci+0.16
- 6NEWLIVtotBOUleeHULcovAVLcryEVEfulARSbhaMUNSUNips+0.12
- 7BHAAVLcheLEEcovARSsunCRYlivmciBREhulNEWbounfoEVE+0.06
- 8BRETOTleeSUNbouCHEavlLIVhulNFObhaEVEmunARSMCIful+0.05
- 9BOUmciEVEnewBRELIVcheSUNmunLEEipsNFOfulBHAHULars+0.04
- 10AVLbhaARShulNFOtotBREnewMCIFULmunSUNipsEVECRYcov-0.06
- 11CRYeveMCIfulIPSleeNFObhaNEWtotLIVcovHULcheavlMUN-0.10
- 12LEEnfoBREbhaNEWCRYarsMUNsunbouTOTcheCOVmciIPSliv-0.12
- 13FULCHEsunCRYlivMUNipsHULcovavlNEWmciBOUtoteveBRE-0.15
- 14NFOLEElivTOTavlCOVcryARSipsbreMCIbouCHEhulBHAsun-0.15
- 15HULMUNcovAVLchenewEVEfulBREIPSarsBHAcryNFObouTOT-0.16
- 16EVECRYbouMUNtotIPShulCHEarsnewCOVbreLIVavlFULbha-0.18
- 17COVarsHULmciBHAnfoNEWtotFULSUNeveCRYleeIPSmunAVL-0.21
- 18TOTbreNEWnfoEVEAVLmunCOVcheCRYleeIPSsunFULARShul-0.22
- 19SUNipsFULbreARSmciBHAbouLEEcovCHEavlTOTlivnewNFO-0.31
- 20IPSSUNmunLIVcryeveFULmciNFOhulBOUtotAVLcovleeNEW-0.58
UPPERCASE home · lowercase away
Ranked by net expected goals per game, so a blank can’t flatter a club. Attack and defence are scored separately — one blended number would hide the split.
GKP
- Tzolakis HUL£4.6 · 51
- Trafford LEE£5.0 · 51
- Raya ARS£6.0 · 50
- Kelleher BRE£5.0 · 49
- Lammens MUN£5.0 · 48
- Martinez CHE£5.0 · 47
- Henderson CRY£5.0 · 47
- Sels NFO£5.0 · 46
- Verbruggen BHA£4.5 · 45
- Pickford EVE£5.5 · 45
DEF
- Gabriel ARS£8.0 · 60
- Tarkowski EVE£6.0 · 58
- Calafiori ARS£5.7 · 56
- Virgil LIV£6.5 · 55
- Truffert BOU£5.5 · 53
- Hill BOU£5.5 · 52
- Botman NEW£5.0 · 52
- White ARS£5.5 · 51
- Van Hecke TOT£4.9 · 51
- Hall NEW£5.1 · 51
MID
- B.Fernandes MUN£12.0 · 78
- Tavernier BOU£6.0 · 71
- Mbeumo MUN£7.9 · 67
- Szoboszlai LIV£7.0 · 65
- Gakpo LIV£7.2 · 62
- Gibbs-White NFO£7.9 · 62
- E.Le Fée SUN£5.9 · 61
- Bruno G. ARS£6.8 · 60
- Foden MCI£7.0 · 60
- Rogers CHE£7.6 · 60
FWD
- Haaland MCI£15.5 · 75
- Isak LIV£9.1 · 64
- João Pedro CHE£7.7 · 62
- Calvert-Lewin LEE£6.0 · 62
- Thiago BRE£7.9 · 60
- Barry EVE£5.6 · 56
- Evanilson BOU£6.0 · 55
- Gonzalo FUL£6.0 · 55
- McBurnie HUL£5.5 · 53
- Strand Larsen CRY£6.0 · 52
Ten per position, free. The full board and every player’s working comes with HQ Pro.
A predicted final table — points, title odds, top four, relegation — needs all 38 gameweeks simulated rather than the 15 behind this page. It is being built; publishing a season prediction off a 15-gameweek run would be exactly the kind of number this site exists not to print.