Built 24 Oct, 16:26
What the model expects.
Every number here comes from the engine that marks a squad, projected over the opening 15 gameweeks. Published before the matches so it can be checked against them — the scorecard is here.
- 1ARSCOVavlCHEsunbhaLEEnfoEVElivHUL+0.70
- 2MCIBOUcryCOVmunSUNlivIPSavlBHAnfo+0.64
- 3MUNhulIPSeveMCIfulTOTleeBOUcheAVL+0.23
- 4BHAAVLcheLEEcovARSsunCRYlivmciBRE+0.21
- 5LIVnewNFOipsFULbouMCIbreBHAARScry+0.20
- 6CHEfulBHAarsHULbreBOUeveTOTMUNsun+0.13
- ···
- 19SUNipsFULbreARSmciBHAbouLEEcovCHE-0.40
- 20IPSSUNmunLIVcryeveFULmciNFOhulBOU-0.53
- 1ARSCOVavlCHEsunbhaLEEnfoEVElivHUL+0.70
- 2MCIBOUcryCOVmunSUNlivIPSavlBHAnfo+0.64
- 3MUNhulIPSeveMCIfulTOTleeBOUcheAVL+0.23
- 4BHAAVLcheLEEcovARSsunCRYlivmciBRE+0.21
- 5LIVnewNFOipsFULbouMCIbreBHAARScry+0.20
- 6CHEfulBHAarsHULbreBOUeveTOTMUNsun+0.13
- 7BRETOTleeSUNbouCHEavlLIVhulNFObha+0.10
- 8BOUmciEVEnewBRELIVcheSUNmunLEEips+0.09
- 9NEWLIVtotBOUleeHULcovAVLcryEVEful+0.03
- 10FULCHEsunCRYlivMUNipsHULcovavlNEW0.00
- 11LEEnfoBREbhaNEWCRYarsMUNsunbouTOT-0.05
- 12NFOLEElivTOTavlCOVcryARSipsbreMCI-0.09
- 13EVECRYbouMUNtotIPShulCHEarsnewCOV-0.11
- 14AVLbhaARShulNFOtotBREnewMCIFULmun-0.16
- 15TOTbreNEWnfoEVEAVLmunCOVcheCRYlee-0.18
- 16CRYeveMCIfulIPSleeNFObhaNEWtotLIV-0.21
- 17HULMUNcovAVLchenewEVEfulBREIPSars-0.21
- 18COVarsHULmciBHAnfoNEWtotFULSUNeve-0.39
- 19SUNipsFULbreARSmciBHAbouLEEcovCHE-0.40
- 20IPSSUNmunLIVcryeveFULmciNFOhulBOU-0.53
UPPERCASE home · lowercase away
Ranked by net expected goals per game, so a blank can’t flatter a club. Attack and defence are scored separately — one blended number would hide the split.
GKP
- Raya ARS£6.2 · 60
- Tzolakis HUL£4.7 · 56
- Trafford LEE£5.0 · 53
- Kelleher BRE£5.0 · 50
- Leno FUL£4.5 · 50
- Verbruggen BHA£4.6 · 49
- Penders CHE£4.4 · 48
- Lammens MUN£4.9 · 48
- Suzuki AVL£5.0 · 48
- Pickford EVE£5.5 · 47
DEF
- Gabriel ARS£7.9 · 69
- Tarkowski EVE£6.2 · 59
- Calafiori ARS£6.0 · 57
- Virgil LIV£6.4 · 55
- Hill BOU£5.5 · 55
- Van Hecke TOT£4.9 · 55
- Vuskovic BHA£5.1 · 54
- Botman NEW£5.0 · 54
- Truffert BOU£5.4 · 52
- Gvardiol MCI£5.8 · 52
MID
- Tavernier BOU£6.3 · 71
- Mbeumo MUN£7.9 · 69
- B.Fernandes MUN£11.7 · 68
- Gibbs-White NFO£7.9 · 66
- Groß BHA£6.2 · 64
- Bruno G. ARS£6.7 · 63
- Hinshelwood BHA£5.9 · 62
- Rogers CHE£8.0 · 60
- Dewsbury-Hall EVE£6.6 · 59
- Foden MCI£6.8 · 59
FWD
- Haaland MCI£15.7 · 76
- Isak LIV£9.0 · 68
- João Pedro CHE£7.9 · 65
- Evanilson BOU£6.2 · 64
- Mateta CRY£6.3 · 57
- Gonzalo FUL£6.1 · 57
- Thiago BRE£7.8 · 57
- Havertz ARS£7.5 · 51
- N.Jackson AVL£6.6 · 51
- Georginio BHA£5.3 · 50
Ten per position, free. The full board and every player’s working comes with HQ Pro.
A predicted final table — points, title odds, top four, relegation — needs all 38 gameweeks simulated rather than the 15 behind this page. It is being built; publishing a season prediction off a 15-gameweek run would be exactly the kind of number this site exists not to print.